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The United States Army Garrison Fort Buchanan, the only federal military installation on the island and the Department of Defense center of gravity for the Caribbean, is committed to ensuring the health, safety and security of our community - Soldiers, Service Members, Family Members, Retirees, Veterans and Civilians who live, work, and train at our installation.
 
This page is dedicated to US Army Garrison Fort Buchanan, Puerto Rico, Hurricane Preparedness and Response. The Atlantic hurricane season begins yearly June 1st and runs to November 30th. It geographically covers the Atlantic basin, which includes the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico.
 

2020 HURRICANE FORECAST

*Below is information from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast, May 21, 2020.
An above-normal 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is expected, according to forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service. The outlook predicts a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season and only a 10% chance of a below-normal season.
 

HOW MANY HURRICANES ARE EXPECTED?

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting a likely range of 13 to 19 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 6 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. An average hurricane season produces 12 named storms, of which 6 become hurricanes, including 3 major hurricanes. 

The combination of several climate factors is driving the strong likelihood for above-normal activity in the Atlantic this year. El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions are expected to either remain neutral or to trend toward La Nina, meaning there will not be an El Nino present to suppress hurricane activity. Also, warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, coupled with reduced vertical wind shear, weaker tropical Atlantic trade winds, and an enhanced west African monsoon all increase the likelihood for an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season. Similar conditions have been producing more active seasons since the current high-activity era began in 1995. 

As with every hurricane season, the need to be prepared is critically important this year.

“Social distancing and other CDC guidance to keep you safe from COVID-19 may impact the disaster preparedness plan you had in place, including what is in your go-kit, evacuation routes, shelters and more. With tornado season at its peak, hurricane season around the corner, and flooding, earthquakes and wildfires a risk year-round, it is time to revise and adjust your emergency plan now,” said Carlos Castillo, acting deputy administrator for resilience at FEMA. “Natural disasters won’t wait, so I encourage you to keep COVID-19 in mind when revising or making your plan for you and your loved ones, and don’t forget your pets.

The 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season for Puerto Rico is running  concurrently with earthquakes (since December 2019 and still occurring) and the COVID-19 world-wide pandemic. Because of this there will be items repeated from the COVID-19 page as reminders, particulaarly in the realm of health and safety.
 
Follow the US Army Garrison Fort Buchanan Facebook page  for information about the installation.
 

 

BELOW IS A LIVE FEED FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR REAL-TIME  INFORMATION

National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ none nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) en-us nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov (NHC Webmaster) National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image

 
(Page last updated December 1, 2020)

 

The following links provide information on Hurricane Preparedness, Response and USAG Fort Buchanan guidelines during this emergency.           

   

HEALTH

The following are official web sites: 
 
Click here for: 
 Los siguientes enlaces son en español:

 

  

SAFETY

 Click here for:

 

SECURITY

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