2024 HURRICANE FORECAST
*Below is information from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast, June - November 2024.
NOAA National Weather Service forecasters at the Climate Prediction Center predict above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin this year. NOAA’s outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season predicts an 85% chance of an above-normal season, a 10% chance of a near-normal season and a 5% chance of a below-normal season.
The upcoming Atlantic hurricane season is expected to have above-normal activity due to a confluence of factors, including near-record warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, development of La Nina conditions in the Pacific, reduced Atlantic trade winds and less wind shear, all of which tend to favor tropical storm formation.
HOW MANY HURRICANES ARE EXPECTED?
NOAA’s update to the 2024 outlook — which covers the entire six-month hurricane season that ending November 30 — calls for a forecasting range of 17 to 25 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 4 to 7 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). Forecasters have a 70% confidence in these ranges.
Atmospheric and oceanic conditions still favor an above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, according to NOAA’s annual mid-season update issued today by the Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service.
BELOW IS A LIVE FEED FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR REAL-TIME INFORMATION
The following links provide information on Hurricane Preparedness, Response and USAG Fort Buchanan guidelines during this type of emergency.
HEALTH
- Fort Bucanan Chapel Community Factsheet
- Patients of the Rodriguez Army Health Clinic
- Coping with isolation during COVID-19
- Support and Resources for Crisis Counselors During the COVID-19 Crisis
- COVID-19 and Stress
- Sleep Apps
SAFETY
Click here for:
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Ready Army Preparing the Army Communities Today for the Hazards of Tomorrow